Who's betting on politics on Polymarket?
494 open markets with $3759M traded, each with the odds and where the profitable wallets sit.
Biggest politics events
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 202853 markets · $1298M vol.
- Presidential Election Winner 202853 markets · $718M vol.
- Republican Presidential Nominee 202843 markets · $716M vol.
- Next French Presidential Election42 markets · $156M vol.
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?16 markets · $99M vol.
- Brazil Presidential Election2 markets · $57M vol.
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?19 markets · $52M vol.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?2 markets · $44M vol.
- California Governor Election Winner23 markets · $42M vol.
- Iran leader end of 2026?25 markets · $39M vol.
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms5 markets · $37M vol.
- Putin out as President of Russia by...?2 markets · $27M vol.
Open markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$44M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$44M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$44M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$44M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$43M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$43M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$43M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$43M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$43M vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$41M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$40M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$39M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$39M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$38M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$38M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$38M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$36M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$36M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$36M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$36M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$36M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$35M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$34M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$34M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$34M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$33M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$33M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$32M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$32M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$30M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
- Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$29M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$29M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$29M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$28M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$28M vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$28M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$28M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$27M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$27M vol.Yes 84%No 17%Smart money: Yes
- Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$27M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$26M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$26M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$26M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$26M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$25M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$23M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$23M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$23M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$22M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$22M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$21M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$19M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19M vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$18M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$18M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$18M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$17M vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: No
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$17M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$16M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$16M vol.Yes 44%No 56%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$16M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$16M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$16M vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$15M vol.Yes 12%No 89%Smart money split
- Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$14M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$14M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$14M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$14M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$14M vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$14M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$14M vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$13M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$13M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Trump out as President before 2027?$13M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$13M vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money split
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$13M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$13M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$13M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$12M vol.Yes 92%No 9%Smart money: Yes
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$12M vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$12M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$12M vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$12M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$12M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$11M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$11M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$11M vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$11M vol.Yes 28%No 73%Smart money: No
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$11M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$11M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10M vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.8M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.7M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.3M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$9.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$9.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$8.9M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$8.9M vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$8.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$8.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.5M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.1M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$7.9M vol.Yes 67%No 34%Smart money: Yes
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$7.8M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$6.9M vol.Yes 85%No 15%Smart money split
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.1M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money split
- Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$5.9M vol.Yes 79%No 22%Smart money split
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$5.9M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Iran leadership change by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.3M vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$5.2M vol.Yes 68%No 33%Smart money: No
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$5.2M vol.Yes 26%No 75%Smart money: Yes
- Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?$5.0M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: No
- Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.4M vol.Yes 46%No 54%Smart money: No
- Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$4.1M vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$4.0M vol.Yes 34%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$3.9M vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: No
- Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$3.7M vol.Yes 33%No 68%Smart money: No
- 2026 Balance of Power: Other$3.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money: Yes
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.6M vol.Yes 52%No 48%Smart money split
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 37%No 64%Smart money: No
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.5M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$3.4M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?$3.3M vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: No
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?$3.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.2M vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money split
- Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.1M vol.Yes 53%No 47%Smart money split
- Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$3.0M vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.0M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.9M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$2.9M vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?$2.8M vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money: Yes
- Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.8M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.7M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$2.7M vol.Yes 76%No 25%Smart money: Yes
- Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.7M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$2.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.5M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 63%No 38%Smart money: Yes
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$2.5M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.5M vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?$2.5M vol.Yes 30%No 70%Smart money: No
- Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Alberta join the US? $2.2M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$2.0M vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: No
- Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$2.0M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$1.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$1.9M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money split
- Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?$1.8M vol.Yes 71%No 30%Smart money: Yes
- Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$1.8M vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$1.7M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.6M vol.Yes 47%No 53%Smart money split
- Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?$1.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?$1.4M vol.Yes 70%No 30%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?$1.4M vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: No
- Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Iran Nuke before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money split
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 75%No 26%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 65%No 36%Smart money split
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$1.3M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 71%No 30%Smart money: Yes
- Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?$1.3M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.3M vol.Yes 65%No 35%Smart money: No
- Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: No
- Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?$1.2M vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.1M vol.Yes 36%No 65%Smart money split
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?$1.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?$1.1M vol.Yes 76%No 25%Smart money: No
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?$1.1M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: No
- Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?$1.1M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 30%No 71%Smart money: No
- Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$997K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?$980K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$954K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$946K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?$935K vol.Yes 37%No 64%Smart money: Yes
- Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$933K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$933K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$928K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$923K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$914K vol.Yes 69%No 32%Smart money split
- Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$907K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$901K vol.Yes 75%No 26%Smart money: Yes
- Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?$898K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?$897K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?$892K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$891K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?$891K vol.Yes 38%No 62%Smart money: No
- Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$884K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?$877K vol.Yes 36%No 65%Smart money: No
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$864K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$860K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026$858K vol.Yes 81%No 20%Smart money: No
- Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$851K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$839K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$834K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$831K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$822K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$817K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$816K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?$808K vol.Yes 63%No 38%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$787K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$783K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: No
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$779K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money split
- Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$774K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: Yes
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$771K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?$770K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Iran leadership change by October 31?$756K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?$750K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$733K vol.Yes 28%No 73%Smart money: Yes
- Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$730K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?$728K vol.Yes 40%No 61%Smart money: Yes
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?$721K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$712K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$705K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$703K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will there be no Hormuz agreement?$700K vol.Yes 93%No 7%Smart money: No
- Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$698K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$691K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: No
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$688K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money split
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$686K vol.Yes 32%No 69%Smart money split
- Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$680K vol.Yes 61%No 39%Smart money: No
- Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$663K vol.Yes 70%No 31%Smart money: Yes
- Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$654K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$650K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$644K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?$641K vol.Yes 87%No 14%Smart money: No
- Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?$637K vol.Yes 30%No 71%Smart money: No
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?$636K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?$629K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$625K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$622K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?$620K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$619K vol.Yes 26%No 75%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$597K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
- Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$592K vol.Yes 88%No 13%Smart money: Yes
- Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$590K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$587K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$585K vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money: No
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$579K vol.Yes 69%No 31%Smart money: No
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?$575K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$571K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$566K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?$559K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$553K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?$551K vol.Yes 70%No 30%Smart money: Yes
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$550K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money split
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?$547K vol.Yes 55%No 46%Smart money: No
- US military draft authorized in 2026?$545K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?$541K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$535K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$535K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$534K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?$532K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?$525K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money split
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?$520K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$519K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$517K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?$517K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$512K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$505K vol.Yes 39%No 62%Smart money: No
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?$504K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?$499K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money split
- Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$498K vol.Yes 74%No 27%Smart money: No
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$497K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$489K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?$489K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?$483K vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money split
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?$481K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?$481K vol.Yes 71%No 29%Smart money: No
- Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$477K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?$476K vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: No
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?$476K vol.Yes 83%No 18%Smart money: Yes
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$476K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?$474K vol.Yes 47%No 54%Smart money: No
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$470K vol.Yes 57%No 43%Smart money: No
- Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$470K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: No
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$468K vol.Yes 93%No 7%Smart money split
- Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$462K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?$455K vol.Yes 92%No 8%Smart money split
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$453K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$453K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$450K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?$449K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$448K vol.Yes 26%No 75%Smart money: Yes
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?$447K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$444K vol.Yes 83%No 18%Smart money: Yes
- Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$443K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$442K vol.Yes 67%No 33%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$439K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?$439K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$437K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Kash Patel out by December 31?$436K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
- Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?$431K vol.Yes 82%No 18%Smart money: Yes
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?$428K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$425K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?$424K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$422K vol.Yes 31%No 69%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$422K vol.Yes 80%No 20%Smart money: Yes
- Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$414K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$414K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?$411K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?$411K vol.Yes 81%No 20%Smart money: Yes
- Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?$409K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
- Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?$402K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?$400K vol.Yes 89%No 12%Smart money: No
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?$398K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$396K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$394K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$393K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$391K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?$390K vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money split
- Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$389K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?$377K vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?$374K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$372K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?$371K vol.Yes 30%No 71%Smart money: No
- Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$371K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$364K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money: Yes
- France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?$363K vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money split
- Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?$358K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$353K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?$351K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$346K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?$344K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $344K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$343K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?$342K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$342K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$342K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$339K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$335K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$333K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?$332K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?$332K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Iran leadership change by November 30?$332K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?$331K vol.Yes 76%No 24%Smart money: Yes
- Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$331K vol.Yes 64%No 36%Smart money: No
- Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?$329K vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$328K vol.Yes 27%No 74%Smart money: No
- US imports Russian diesel by October 31?$327K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?$326K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$325K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$324K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?$323K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?$322K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?$320K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?$314K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$312K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$311K vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?$310K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
Closed in the last 30 days
- Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$83M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$56M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$42M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$32M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$30M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$29M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$17M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$14M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$12M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.2M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$8.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.8M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.6M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$7.2M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.6M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$5.6M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$4.2M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.1M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?$3.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$3.4M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$2.9M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$2.6M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?$2.5M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.4M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$2.4M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.3M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?$2.1M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.1M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?$2.0M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Trump out as President by September 30?$2.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$2.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Iran leadership change by September 30?$1.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?$1.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$1.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?$1.3M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.3M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.3M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Trump renames AI by September 30?$1.3M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.2M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.2M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.2M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.2M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will there be no Hormuz agreement?$1.1M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.1M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?$1.1M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?$1.0M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?$1.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$991K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$958K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$935K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$913K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$897K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$895K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?$895K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$814K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$797K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?$766K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$750K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$740K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?$734K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$704K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?$702K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$669K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?$657K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?$643K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?$605K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$579K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?$578K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$571K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$560K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?$525K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?$524K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$521K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?$504K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?$487K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$473K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?$456K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?$455K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$441K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$432K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?$428K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$424K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$422K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$413K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$407K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$405K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$402K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026$392K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$381K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?$375K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$370K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$364K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$363K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$355K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$354K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?$353K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?$347K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?$345K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?$336K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?$335K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?$330K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$330K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?$327K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$318K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?$318K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?$313K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?$310K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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