Who's betting on “Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?”?

Politics · $601K volume · Ends October 26, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 88¢ and No at 13¢, an 88% implied chance of Yes. $601K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.

77% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.

580 wallets hold a position worth $258K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 576 of them. The largest Yes holder is Specksalam, with $41K on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 63 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is 0x4488…e319, with $3.1K on it, $661K lifetime profit over 1,169 markets (54% won).

2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $9.8K on Yes.

Yes88%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
77% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
414
Money on it
$241K
Holders' winrate
70%
Snipers
2 · $9.8K
Insider flags
0
No13%
Smart money share
69% ▲ 6 pts 24 h
Holders
166
Money on it
$17K
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Specksalambalanced$41K+$3.5K81% of 63
sciuboiwhale$26K+$269K60% of 611
anoin123$12K-$4.9M60% of 1,429
goingsocialwhale$11K+$41K50% of 209
mazansniper$9.4K+$33K92% of 26
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x4488…e319whale$3.1K+$661K54% of 1,169
LoshEPSTN$2.0K+$6.1K89% of 18
bonyohrbalanced$1.9K+$8.8K67% of 57
YouAreMyExitLiqudity$1.7K-$7.6K46% of 200
XueqinJiangwhale$1.4K+$35K75% of 204
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?"?

580 wallets hold a position worth $258K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 576 of them. The largest Yes holder is Specksalam, with $41K on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 63 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is 0x4488…e319, with $3.1K on it, $661K lifetime profit over 1,169 markets (54% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 88¢ and No at 13¢, an 88% implied chance of Yes. $601K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

77% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 26, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo