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Who's betting on “Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $55M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $55M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

77% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.

1,381 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,381 of them. The largest Yes holder is JustCrazy, with $351 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 264 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Kareesh, with $5.6K on it, $11K lifetime loss over 561 markets (67% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $103 on No.

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
77%
Holders
382
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' winrate
55%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
54%
Holders
999
Money on it
$23K
Holders' winrate
69%
Snipers
1 · $103
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
JustCrazywhale$351+$32K47% of 264
pizzaallosqualowhale$159+$23K63% of 184
Asperatuswhale$120+$2.9K64% of 225
KKchallenge$92-$46K34% of 202
LAROWnoise$75+$90049% of 78
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Kareesh$5.6K-$11K67% of 561
lvlegrinder$733+$1893% of 44
0xF0909B1E407AE428DC04F9B6dE64dE507C3B7E13-1771981506448noise$544+$7146% of 24
98jnkm0$506-$2847% of 17
junchen$500-$14674% of 47
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

1,381 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,381 of them. The largest Yes holder is JustCrazy, with $351 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 264 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Kareesh, with $5.6K on it, $11K lifetime loss over 561 markets (67% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $55M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

77% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo