Who's betting on “Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?
Politics · $19M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $19M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
66% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
930 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 930 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $636 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is kyskyskyskys, with $499 on it, $5.0K lifetime profit over 15 markets (53% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 66%
- Holders
- 376
- Money on it
- $4.1K
- Holders' winrate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 63%
- Holders
- 554
- Money on it
- $9.5K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale | $636 | +$1.8M | 69% of 1,104 |
| MegBee | $540 | -$209 | - |
| ScottyNooowhale | $417 | +$891K | 48% of 1,533 |
| 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794whale | $320 | +$35K | 49% of 1,032 |
| 0xdea2…e981whale | $277 | +$31K | 67% of 24 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| kyskyskyskys | $499 | +$5.0K | 53% of 15 |
| butdiffbalanced | $250 | +$25 | 80% of 44 |
| Austin00 | $211 | -$31 | 30% of 30 |
| svven5noise | $208 | +$229 | 43% of 21 |
| Protocol294Prime | $172 | -$305 | 34% of 93 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
930 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 930 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $636 on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is kyskyskyskys, with $499 on it, $5.0K lifetime profit over 15 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $19M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.