Polymarket markets
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The biggest open Polymarket markets, with the odds and where the historically profitable wallets sit on each. Every holder is scored by their track record. How it works.
The biggest events
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 202853 markets · $1298M vol.
- Presidential Election Winner 202853 markets · $718M vol.
- Republican Presidential Nominee 202843 markets · $716M vol.
- Next French Presidential Election42 markets · $156M vol.
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?16 markets · $99M vol.
- Pro Football: 2027 Champion32 markets · $69M vol.
- Fed Decision in October?5 markets · $62M vol.
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion33 markets · $60M vol.
- Brazil Presidential Election2 markets · $56M vol.
- Ballon d'Or Winner 202619 markets · $56M vol.
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?13 markets · $55M vol.
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?19 markets · $52M vol.
Politics
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$44M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$44M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Sports
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$35M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.1M vol.Yes 72%No 28%Smart money: No
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.2M vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.7M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.6M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$4.8M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Finance
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 96%No 4%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3.2M vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
Pop culture
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$67M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?$1.1M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $1.1M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Economy
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$18M vol.Yes 95%No 6%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$14M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$11M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$9.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$9.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.1M vol.Yes 74%No 26%Smart money: Yes
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money: Yes
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.0M vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$791K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$613K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Geopolitics
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.1M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.4M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?$1.9M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 12%No 89%Smart money: No
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1.1M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$689K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
Weather
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$833K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$789K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$339K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$333K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
Iran
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money split
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.1M vol.Yes 86%No 14%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.0M vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.2M vol.Yes 40%No 61%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$932K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$771K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$672K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?$652K vol.Yes 48%No 53%Smart money: Yes
- Iran full airspace closure by December 31?$621K vol.Yes 38%No 62%Smart money: No
Tech
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$878K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$760K vol.Yes 90%No 10%Smart money: Yes
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$734K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$427K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$408K vol.Yes 50%No 51%Smart money: Yes
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$400K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$380K vol.Yes 60%No 41%Smart money: Yes
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$362K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?$356K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money split
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?$355K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: No
World
Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.