Who's betting on “Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?”?
Sports · $4.8M volume · Ends December 6, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $4.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 6, 2026.
45% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
1,936 wallets hold a position worth $1.1M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,935 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x46ee4944d72cCeAAc9c19e08e0491cbAD461AE61-1774461767714, with $230K on it, $230K lifetime loss over 169 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is vettfer, with $940 on it, $26K lifetime profit over 10 markets (90% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2.2K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 45% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $1.1M
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 2 · $2.2K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 55% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 936
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x46ee4944d72cCeAAc9c19e08e0491cbAD461AE61-1774461767714 | $230K | -$230K | 57% of 169 |
| 0F62 | $107K | -$268K | 66% of 1,296 |
| DickTurbinwhale | $68K | +$186K | 83% of 1,005 |
| AJM96whale | $63K | +$95K | 68% of 397 |
| Ryxon21whale | $37K | +$112K | 82% of 557 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| vettfer | $940 | +$26K | 90% of 10 |
| 0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107whale | $780 | +$70K | 67% of 1,877 |
| TB14 | $642 | -$486K | 36% of 896 |
| celery-cactus | $160 | -$800 | 68% of 161 |
| Albedo00 | $130 | -$258K | 31% of 522 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in F1 Drivers' Champion
- Lando Norris$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Max Verstappen$6.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Lewis Hamilton$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Charles Leclerc$5.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- George Russell$3.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$11M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$9.4M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Oscar Piastri$6.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.2M vol.Yes 71%No 29%Smart money: No
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- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.8M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.7M vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?"?
1,936 wallets hold a position worth $1.1M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,935 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x46ee4944d72cCeAAc9c19e08e0491cbAD461AE61-1774461767714, with $230K on it, $230K lifetime loss over 169 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is vettfer, with $940 on it, $26K lifetime profit over 10 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $4.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 6, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
45% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 6, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.