Who's betting on “Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?”?
Sports · $5.6M volume · Ends December 6, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $5.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 6, 2026.
32% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
1,704 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,702 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x46ee4944d72cCeAAc9c19e08e0491cbAD461AE61-1774461767714, with $353 on it, $230K lifetime loss over 169 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Nooserac, with $3.9K on it, $1.3M lifetime profit over 2,827 markets (57% won).
- Smart money share
- 32%
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 72%
- Holders
- 704
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x46ee4944d72cCeAAc9c19e08e0491cbAD461AE61-1774461767714 | $353 | -$230K | 57% of 169 |
| leegunnerwhale | $79 | +$366K | 73% of 1,115 |
| 19591ZHZ | $57 | -$17K | 56% of 54 |
| saintaphextwin | $52 | -$53K | 87% of 592 |
| AJM96whale | $46 | +$95K | 68% of 397 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nooseracwhale | $3.9K | +$1.3M | 57% of 2,827 |
| EmbraceChaosbalanced | $3.1K | +$635 | 71% of 34 |
| BFivePolbalanced | $2.2K | +$964 | 59% of 147 |
| grjyt75eryt654ter | $1.1K | -$26 | 64% of 22 |
| KarlvonLupobalanced | $1.1K | +$333 | 86% of 43 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in F1 Drivers' Champion
- Lando Norris$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Max Verstappen$6.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Charles Leclerc$5.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Kimi Antonelli$4.8M vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: No
- George Russell$3.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$11M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$9.4M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Oscar Piastri$6.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big sports markets
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- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.2M vol.Yes 71%No 29%Smart money: No
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- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.8M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.7M vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?"?
1,704 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,702 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x46ee4944d72cCeAAc9c19e08e0491cbAD461AE61-1774461767714, with $353 on it, $230K lifetime loss over 169 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Nooserac, with $3.9K on it, $1.3M lifetime profit over 2,827 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $5.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 6, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
32% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 6, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.