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Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?Yes 52%▼ 3$2.9M

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 83%▲ 6$1.2M

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 18%▼ 6$933.3K

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageVitality 93%▲ 8$758.7K

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 19%▲ 12$722.1K Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes 6%▼ 2$685.3K Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes 95%▲ 3$658K

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 72%▲ 1$388.3K

Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo MusettiFlavio Cobolli 51%$341.8K

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 92%▼ 1$335K

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Merab Dvalishvili 41%▼ 1$329.6K

Heat vs. HornetsHeat 56%▲ 4$322.8K

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 9%▲ 1$301.1K US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes 79%▲ 1$298.2K

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 9%▼ 7$296.4K

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 72%▼ 5$281.9K

NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Yes 8%▼ 18$276.7K

Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 3%▲ 1$265.5K

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)Club Atlético de Madrid 18%▲ 2$249.3K

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 18%▼ 19$229.9K

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?Yes 52%▼ 3$2.9M

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 83%▲ 6$1.2M

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 18%▼ 6$933.3K

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageVitality 93%▲ 8$758.7K

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 19%▲ 12$722.1K Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes 6%▼ 2$685.3K Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes 95%▲ 3$658K

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 72%▲ 1$388.3K

Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo MusettiFlavio Cobolli 51%$341.8K

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 92%▼ 1$335K

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Merab Dvalishvili 41%▼ 1$329.6K

Heat vs. HornetsHeat 56%▲ 4$322.8K

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 9%▲ 1$301.1K US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes 79%▲ 1$298.2K

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 9%▼ 7$296.4K

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 72%▼ 5$281.9K

NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Yes 8%▼ 18$276.7K

Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 3%▲ 1$265.5K

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)Club Atlético de Madrid 18%▲ 2$249.3K

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 18%▼ 19$229.9K

United StatesPoliticsUS Election

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$35,825,582 Vol.

1 of 5

Democrats Sweep$7,929,254 Vol.▼ 1%67%R Senate, D House$5,206,423 Vol.▲ 1%26%Republicans Sweep$11,224,056 Vol.8%D Senate, R House$7,780,534 Vol.<1%

+1 more outcome

Democrats SweepR Senate, D HouseRepublicans SweepD Senate, R House

$213,192,291

24h Polymarket Volume

22,437

Open Events

🔥 Hot Traders ›PnL 7dROI

Jjoseph00677 $2.5M▲ 13.4%BBreakTheBank $2.5M▲ 7.8%DDiabolical-Prize $1.9M▲ 953.0%Ee46m3 $1.5M▲ 138.1%All traders →

Snapshot running since 4:31 PM· 5,920 markets scanned· 354,426 of 354,427 wallets scored

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom17%YesNo

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%YesNo

Jon Ossoff16%YesNo

Kamala Harris7%YesNo

Josh Shapiro5%YesNo

Pete Buttigieg5%YesNo

Andy Beshear3%YesNo

James Talarico3%YesNo

Mark Kelly$ Yes2%YesNo

Wes Moore2%YesNo

Raphael Warnock2%YesNo

Rahm Emanuel1%YesNo

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson$ No ✓1%YesNo

Ro Khanna1%YesNo

Bernie Sanders1%YesNo

J.B. Pritzker1%YesNo

Chelsea Clinton$ No ✓<1%YesNo

Cory Booker$ Yes<1%YesNo

Gretchen Whitmer<1%YesNo

Jon Stewart<1%YesNo

$1.3B Vol.20 outcomes · 108 decided hidden

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance21%YesNo

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%YesNo

Gavin Newsom10%YesNo

Jon Ossoff9%YesNo

Marco Rubio9%YesNo

Kamala Harris4%YesNo

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%YesNo

J.D. Vance$ Yes44%YesNo

Marco Rubio15%YesNo

Ron DeSantis$ Yes3%YesNo

Tucker Carlson3%YesNo

Ted Cruz2%YesNo

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli98%YesNo

Max Verstappen2%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro$ Yes ✓83%YesNo

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$ No ✓18%YesNo

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen$ No ✓46%YesNo

Édouard Philippe$ Yes17%YesNo

David Lisnard$ No ✓14%YesNo

Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%YesNo

Raphaël Glucksmann4%YesNo

François Hollande

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No clear lean100% scored

YesWR 62%Smart 63%

NoWR 64%Smart 48%

$2.8M Vol.01 Jan 2027

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro$ Yes ✓75%YesNo

Delcy Rodríguez17%YesNo

No Head of State2%YesNo

María Corina Machado1%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↑ 90,00044%YesNo

↓ 70,00043%YesNo

↑ 95,00027%YesNo

↓ 65,00025%YesNo

↑ 100,00018%YesNo

↓ 60,00014%YesNo

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 319%YesNo

October 31$ No ✓<1%YesNo

$76.6M Vol.2 outcomes

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Smart $ on No +36 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 61%Smart 45%

NoWR 74%Smart 81%

$75.2M Vol.01 Jan 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 315%YesNo

$74.7M Vol.1 outcome · 1 decided hidden

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

San Francisco 49ers$ No ✓16%YesNo

Buffalo Bills$ No ✓13%YesNo

Kansas City Chiefs$ No ✓11%YesNo

Baltimore Ravens$ No ✓7%YesNo

Los Angeles Rams$ No ✓7%YesNo

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Smart $ on No +39 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 79%Smart 17%

NoWR 76%Smart 56%

$66.7M Vol.01 Jan 2027

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane71%YesNo

Kylian Mbappé18%YesNo

Lamine Yamal9%YesNo

Lionel Messi1%YesNo

Fed Decision in October?

No change95%YesNo

25 bps increase5%YesNo

$62.1M Vol.2 outcomes · 3 decided hidden

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)$ Yes ✓96%YesNo

1 (25 bps)$ No ✓1%YesNo

$54.8M Vol.2 outcomes · 11 decided hidden

Josh Shapiro$ Yes3%YesNo

Pete Buttigieg$ Yes3%YesNo

Ron DeSantis2%YesNo

Andy Beshear2%YesNo

James Talarico2%YesNo

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson$ No ✓2%YesNo

Donald Trump1%YesNo

Tucker Carlson1%YesNo

Mark Kelly$ Yes1%YesNo

Raphael Warnock$ Yes1%YesNo

Wes Moore1%YesNo

Thomas Massie1%YesNo

Ro Khanna$ Yes<1%YesNo

JB Pritzker$ Yes<1%YesNo

$718.6M Vol.20 outcomes · 108 decided hidden

Donald Trump$ Yes2%YesNo

Donald Trump Jr.2%YesNo

Ivanka Trump$ Yes1%YesNo

Thomas Massie$ Yes<1%YesNo

Brian Kemp$ Yes<1%YesNo

Person AA-YesNo

Person AB-YesNo

Person AC-YesNo

Person AD-YesNo

$716.3M Vol.20 outcomes · 108 decided hidden

Driver D

-

Yes

No

$204.6M Vol.12 outcomes · 4 decided hidden

$194.9M Vol.15 outcomes

2%

Yes

No

Bruno Retailleau1%YesNo

Gabriel Attal1%YesNo

Jordan Bardella<1%YesNo

Éric Zemmour<1%YesNo

Sarah Knafo$ No ✓<1%YesNo

Dominique de Villepin$ No ✓<1%YesNo

$156M Vol.20 outcomes · 108 decided hidden

Leader 10-YesNo

Leader 11-YesNo

Leader 12-YesNo

Leader 13-YesNo

Leader 14-YesNo

Leader 15-YesNo

Leader 16-YesNo

$98.7M Vol.20 outcomes · 37 decided hidden

↓ 55,000

10%

Yes

No

↓ 50,0009%YesNo

↑ 110,0008%YesNo

↓ 45,0005%YesNo

↑ 120,0005%YesNo

↑ 130,0003%YesNo

↓ 40,0003%YesNo

↑ 140,0003%YesNo

↑ 160,0002%YesNo

↓ 35,0002%YesNo

↓ 30,0002%YesNo

↑ 180,0001%YesNo

↑ 150,0001%YesNo

↓ 25,0001%YesNo

$78.1M Vol.20 outcomes · 10 decided hidden

Jacksonville Jaguars6%YesNo

Chicago Bears$ No ✓6%YesNo

Seattle Seahawks6%YesNo

Cincinnati Bengals$ No ✓4%YesNo

Denver Broncos4%YesNo

Minnesota Vikings4%YesNo

New England Patriots3%YesNo

Detroit Lions$ Yes3%YesNo

Houston Texans3%YesNo

Green Bay Packers3%YesNo

Dallas Cowboys$ No ✓2%YesNo

Carolina Panthers1%YesNo

Pittsburgh Steelers<1%YesNo

Atlanta Falcons$ Yes<1%YesNo

New York Giants<1%YesNo

$69.1M Vol.20 outcomes · 13 decided hidden

AI

-

Yes

No

$62.3M Vol.20 outcomes · 57 decided hidden

Barcelona

$ No ✓

24%

Yes

No

Paris Saint-Germain18%YesNo

Arsenal$ Yes14%YesNo

Bayern Munich14%YesNo

Real Madrid$ No ✓11%YesNo

Manchester City8%YesNo

Liverpool5%YesNo

Atlético Madrid2%YesNo

Inter Milan2%YesNo

Aston Villa1%YesNo

Manchester United1%YesNo

Borussia Dortmund$ Yes<1%YesNo

Real Betis$ No ✓<1%YesNo

$60.4M Vol.20 outcomes · 22 decided hidden

AllTrendingBreakingNewPoliticsSportsCryptoEsportsIranFinanceGeopoliticsTechCultureEconomyWeatherMentionsArtWorld

All Politics2.6K Sports14.1K Crypto4K Esports598 Iran149 Finance524 Geopolitics489 Tech381 Culture383 Economy192 Weather367 Mentions21 Art11 World359