Who's betting on “Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?”?
Sports · $6.6M volume · Ends December 6, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $6.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 6, 2026.
30% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
1,310 wallets hold a position worth $64K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,306 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x46ee4944d72cCeAAc9c19e08e0491cbAD461AE61-1774461767714, with $3.7K on it, $230K lifetime loss over 169 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is El-Yacare, with $19K on it, $3.3K lifetime loss.
- Smart money share
- 30%
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $22K
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 14%
- Holders
- 310
- Money on it
- $42K
- Holders' winrate
- 43%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x46ee4944d72cCeAAc9c19e08e0491cbAD461AE61-1774461767714 | $3.7K | -$230K | 57% of 169 |
| Nooseracwhale | $1.6K | +$1.3M | 57% of 2,827 |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | $1.3K | -$3.5M | 43% of 2,404 |
| leegunnerwhale | $1.0K | +$366K | 73% of 1,115 |
| 0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107whale | $689 | +$70K | 67% of 1,877 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| El-Yacare | $19K | -$3.3K | - |
| 0x000c…bcf3 | $11K | -$311K | 20% of 417 |
| MetamaskIIbalanced | $2.0K | +$6.8K | 68% of 28 |
| R0ndogwhale | $979 | +$35K | 63% of 910 |
| Facekini888 | $884 | -$10K | 56% of 243 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in F1 Drivers' Champion
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- George Russell$3.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$11M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$9.4M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Oscar Piastri$6.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?"?
1,310 wallets hold a position worth $64K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,306 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x46ee4944d72cCeAAc9c19e08e0491cbAD461AE61-1774461767714, with $3.7K on it, $230K lifetime loss over 169 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is El-Yacare, with $19K on it, $3.3K lifetime loss.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $6.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 6, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
30% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 6, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.