Who's betting on “Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?”?
Finance · $8.0M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $8.0M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
54% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.
1,010 wallets hold a position worth $9.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,009 of them. The largest Yes holder is tupac8, with $78 on it, $110K lifetime profit over 200 markets (18% won). The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $3.7K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (86% won).
- Smart money share
- 54%
- Holders
- 111
- Money on it
- $284
- Holders' winrate
- 41%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 76%
- Holders
- 899
- Money on it
- $9.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 83%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| tupac8noise | $78 | +$110K | 18% of 200 |
| AMAM13 | $61 | -$116K | 57% of 5,490 |
| Oklmntrader | $23 | -$173K | 13% of 547 |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495noise | $20 | +$317K | 22% of 11,481 |
| 0xD35694160B7Bc6F734aB2e95072686ACEb1A963d-1770830259364grinder | $20 | +$634 | 88% of 128 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
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- BP$1.1M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
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- Ubisoft$635K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Zoom Video Communications$432K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Anthropic$198K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Snapchat$152K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- PayPal$125K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money split
- MGM Resorts$60K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
Who's betting on Which companies will be acquired before 2027? →
Other big finance markets
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- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?"?
1,010 wallets hold a position worth $9.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,009 of them. The largest Yes holder is tupac8, with $78 on it, $110K lifetime profit over 200 markets (18% won). The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $3.7K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $8.0M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
54% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.