Who's betting on “Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?”?
Finance · $677K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $677K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
66% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
246 wallets hold a position worth $5.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 246 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $20 on it, $30K lifetime profit over 10,707 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is Milcroftx, with $882 on it, $913 lifetime profit over 8 markets (100% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $342 on No.
- Smart money share
- 66%
- Holders
- 111
- Money on it
- $94
- Holders' winrate
- 46%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 81%
- Holders
- 135
- Money on it
- $5.3K
- Holders' winrate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 1 · $342
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| LornaPredictsnoise | $20 | +$30K | 29% of 10,707 |
| spartatradingwhale | $7 | +$27K | 45% of 1,168 |
| Wtfitst2daj | $6 | -$4.0K | 47% of 150 |
| 9dfbalanced | $5 | +$1.9K | 54% of 201 |
| acalwhale | $4 | +$15K | 79% of 484 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milcroftx | $882 | +$913 | 100% of 8 |
| DEGENKHANwhale | $527 | +$105K | 74% of 1,139 |
| 0x5b91…2709whale | $354 | +$49K | 76% of 1,022 |
| surfacc | $344 | +$3 | 90% of 31 |
| pinduoduosniper | $342 | +$39K | 88% of 41 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Nebius Group$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Perplexity AI$2.4M vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: No
- Viking Therapeutics$1.7M vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- GitLab$1.2M vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- BP$1.1M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Lovable$996K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Ubisoft$635K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Zoom Video Communications$432K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Anthropic$198K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Snapchat$152K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- PayPal$125K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money split
- MGM Resorts$60K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
Who's betting on Which companies will be acquired before 2027? →
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?"?
246 wallets hold a position worth $5.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 246 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $20 on it, $30K lifetime profit over 10,707 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is Milcroftx, with $882 on it, $913 lifetime profit over 8 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $677K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.