Who's betting on “Will BP be acquired before 2027?”?

Finance · $1.1M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 25, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

40% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

112 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them. The largest Yes holder is rocky42009, with $31 on it, $7.4K lifetime loss over 951 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $572 on it, $75K lifetime loss over 1,268 markets (52% won).

Yes3%
Smart money share
40%
Holders
46
Money on it
$94
Holders' winrate
48%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No97%
Smart money share
42%
Holders
66
Money on it
$2.6K
Holders' winrate
73%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
rocky42009$31-$7.4K53% of 951
AJSVwhale$10+$219K41% of 103,854
Dr.PNL$8-$477K30% of 13,997
5atkawhale$7+$10.0K59% of 224
SuSuDORIS$7-$52659% of 579
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Hyperlong$572-$75K52% of 1,268
inventive$428-$27672% of 25
meropiwhale$368+$51K98% of 947
0xe004e9f42772668f46D763aA389D134d9fC47849-1761948701115balanced$212+$1.2K76% of 190
aviatowhale$171+$202K81% of 1,237
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will BP be acquired before 2027?"?

112 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them. The largest Yes holder is rocky42009, with $31 on it, $7.4K lifetime loss over 951 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $572 on it, $75K lifetime loss over 1,268 markets (52% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will BP be acquired before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

40% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.