Who's betting on “Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?”?
Weather · $19M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $19M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
12% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 72 points. A week ago, No by 72 points.
2,000 wallets hold a position worth $1.1M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,999 of them. The largest Yes holder is Transportlag, with $2.2K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Clicker1, with $98K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 12 markets (92% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $7.9K on No.
- Smart money share
- 12%
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $24K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 85%
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $1.1M
- Holders' winrate
- 72%
- Snipers
- 2 · $7.9K
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transportlag | $2.2K | +$0 | - |
| 0xe987422A343f76702d8bF8E69c317F7Ec21B81b7-1779804683914 | $2.1K | +$0 | - |
| tradingdecs | $1.7K | -$20K | 83% of 76 |
| 0x3f9d…f824 | $1.1K | +$0 | - |
| hantamypunta | $991 | +$0 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clicker1 | $98K | +$133K | 92% of 12 |
| 0x006cc834Cc092684F1B56626E23BEdB3835c16ea-1729683673397whale | $80K | +$4.7M | 47% of 599 |
| Erasmus.whale | $72K | +$204K | 70% of 828 |
| nelbal8486whale | $69K | +$24K | 82% of 104 |
| Brokiewhale | $64K | +$180K | 59% of 906 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
Other big weather markets
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$833K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$789K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$339K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$333K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?"?
2,000 wallets hold a position worth $1.1M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,999 of them. The largest Yes holder is Transportlag, with $2.2K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Clicker1, with $98K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 12 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $19M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
12% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 72 points. A week ago, No by 72 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.