Who's betting on economy on Polymarket?
12 open markets with $70M traded, each with the odds and where the profitable wallets sit.
Biggest economy events
Open markets
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$18M vol.Yes 95%No 6%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$14M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$11M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$9.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$9.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.3M vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.1M vol.Yes 75%No 26%Smart money: Yes
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money: Yes
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.0M vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$791K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$613K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
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