Who's betting on tech on Polymarket?
16 open markets with $9.0M traded, each with the odds and where the profitable wallets sit.
Biggest tech events
Open markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$888K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$761K vol.Yes 89%No 11%Smart money: Yes
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$734K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$427K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$408K vol.Yes 50%No 51%Smart money: Yes
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$401K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$394K vol.Yes 56%No 45%Smart money: Yes
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$362K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?$356K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money split
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?$355K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: No
- Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?$339K vol.Yes 30%No 70%Smart money: No
- Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$339K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$334K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money split
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$322K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
Closed in the last 30 days
- Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?$6.8M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?$1.0M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?$819K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?$799K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$751K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?$644K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?$490K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?$478K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?$436K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$416K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?$358K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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