Who's betting on “Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?”?
Tech · $394K volume · Ends January 1, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 45¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $394K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
87% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
199 wallets hold a position worth $48K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 198 of them. The largest Yes holder is Parz1vaI, with $9.8K on it, $817K lifetime profit over 1,198 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is Boz13, with $4.5K on it, $2.7K lifetime loss over 46 markets (46% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2.1K on No.
- Smart money share
- 87% ▼ 9 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $27K
- Holders' winrate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 61% ▼ 11 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 106
- Money on it
- $21K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2.1K
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parz1vaIwhale | $9.8K | +$817K | 72% of 1,198 |
| eCashwhale | $5.0K | +$273K | 70% of 652 |
| Dragontreewhale | $3.1K | +$154K | 58% of 1,097 |
| skydodo | $1.6K | -$5.9K | 3% of 67 |
| peterfromfamilyguywhale | $1.2K | +$47K | 56% of 303 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boz13 | $4.5K | -$2.7K | 46% of 46 |
| WorkingIsBad | $2.1K | +$133 | 67% of 12 |
| grothsniper | $2.1K | +$145K | 77% of 485 |
| enrico-vasaiowhale | $2.1K | +$24K | 65% of 1,060 |
| AiBirdwhale | $1.7K | +$122K | 57% of 1,139 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
- December 31, 2026$356K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money split
- September 30, 2026$223K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?"?
199 wallets hold a position worth $48K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 198 of them. The largest Yes holder is Parz1vaI, with $9.8K on it, $817K lifetime profit over 1,198 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is Boz13, with $4.5K on it, $2.7K lifetime loss over 46 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 45¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $394K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.