Who's betting on “Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?”?
Tech · $356K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $356K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
92% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.
239 wallets hold a position worth $117K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 238 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e, with $6.0K on it, $14K lifetime profit over 5 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is WordleAddict, with $30K on it, $642K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (61% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $384 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $34 on No.
- Smart money share
- 92%
- Holders
- 133
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $384
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 94%
- Holders
- 106
- Money on it
- $98K
- Holders' winrate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $34
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e | $6.0K | +$14K | 80% of 5 |
| AiBirdwhale | $3.0K | +$122K | 57% of 1,139 |
| dromedaryywhale | $835 | +$450K | 66% of 47 |
| BigMackyGwhale | $699 | +$74K | 71% of 221 |
| DualDeltanoise | $640 | +$41K | 34% of 207 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| WordleAddictwhale | $30K | +$642K | 61% of 1,058 |
| Parz1vaIwhale | $11K | +$817K | 72% of 1,198 |
| touristswhale | $9.8K | +$629K | 70% of 934 |
| WorkingIsBad | $6.5K | +$133 | 67% of 12 |
| M2sx92kljs42whale | $4.2K | +$63K | 78% of 514 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
- December 31, 2027$394K vol.Yes 56%No 45%Smart money: Yes
- September 30, 2026$223K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?"?
239 wallets hold a position worth $117K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 238 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e, with $6.0K on it, $14K lifetime profit over 5 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is WordleAddict, with $30K on it, $642K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $356K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.