Who's betting on “Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?”?
Tech · $764K volume · Ends October 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 91¢ and No at 9¢, a 91% implied chance of Yes. $764K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
79% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 63 points.
1,119 wallets hold a position worth $306K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,099 of them. The largest Yes holder is JokerTheClown, with $19K on it, $60K lifetime profit over 1,654 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is Key222, with $4.5K on it, $22K lifetime loss over 8 markets (100% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $19K on Yes; the insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $5.0K on No.
- Smart money share
- 79%
- Holders
- 843
- Money on it
- $296K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 2 · $19K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 14%
- Holders
- 276
- Money on it
- $9.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 84%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 1 · $5.0K
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| JokerTheClownsniper | $19K | +$60K | 68% of 1,654 |
| anoin123 | $17K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| Parz1vaIwhale | $17K | +$817K | 72% of 1,198 |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05whale | $14K | +$135K | 54% of 517 |
| The-Jokerwhale | $13K | +$147K | 64% of 1,270 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Key222 | $4.5K | -$22K | 100% of 8 |
| tresghet | $1.5K | +$0 | - |
| Hhxuwjjwjs | $533 | -$16 | 0% of 1 |
| dips.whale | $279 | +$12K | 46% of 22,940 |
| polzpockznoise | $277 | +$3.4K | 42% of 38 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic$735K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- OpenAI$430K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- Meta$401K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- SpaceXAI$339K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Alibaba$188K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Moonshot$184K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- DeepSeek$143K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Z.ai$109K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Xiaomi$35K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- ByteDance$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Mistral$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Amazon$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Baidu$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on Which company has the best AI model end of October? →
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$888K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$408K vol.Yes 50%No 51%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$394K vol.Yes 56%No 45%Smart money: Yes
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$362K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?$356K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money split
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?$355K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?"?
1,119 wallets hold a position worth $306K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,099 of them. The largest Yes holder is JokerTheClown, with $19K on it, $60K lifetime profit over 1,654 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is Key222, with $4.5K on it, $22K lifetime loss over 8 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 91¢ and No at 9¢, a 91% implied chance of Yes. $764K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 63 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on No ($5.0K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.