Who's betting on “Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?”?
Tech · $355K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $355K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
50% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
428 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 428 of them. The largest Yes holder is alphastrike10, with $3.8K on it, $446 lifetime loss over 8 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is 0x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-1762688421136, with $67 on it, $3.9K lifetime loss over 401 markets (74% won).
- Smart money share
- 50% ▲ 6 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 215
- Money on it
- $21K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 65%
- Holders
- 213
- Money on it
- $353
- Holders' winrate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| alphastrike10 | $3.8K | -$446 | 50% of 8 |
| 0x1ef01de817862024966e8242e923a6noise | $1.9K | +$99 | 43% of 269 |
| Brother357whale | $1.7K | +$48K | 79% of 1,052 |
| iHaveBeenPwned | $1.4K | +$5 | 100% of 1 |
| Hiworld. | $1.0K | -$16K | 57% of 213 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-1762688421136 | $67 | -$3.9K | 74% of 401 |
| Red781RuMwhale | $33 | +$38K | 57% of 1,023 |
| outcomesnoise | $22 | +$17K | 42% of 232 |
| tjdlpswhale | $18 | +$60K | 83% of 202 |
| loewesanbalanced | $17 | +$7.4K | 68% of 94 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?"?
428 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 428 of them. The largest Yes holder is alphastrike10, with $3.8K on it, $446 lifetime loss over 8 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is 0x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-1762688421136, with $67 on it, $3.9K lifetime loss over 401 markets (74% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $355K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.