Who's betting on “Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?”?
Tech · $644K volume · Closed · Updated October 1, 2026
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $644K has been traded on it.
79% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
1,215 wallets hold a position worth $231K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,213 of them.
- Smart money share
- 79% ▲ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 215
- Money on it
- $118
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 60% ▲ 10 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $231K
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- October 31$271K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 15$246K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 13$115K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- November 30$91K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 14$60K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 16$47K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 10$40K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 23$39K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 12$24K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$430K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$408K vol.Yes 50%No 51%Smart money: Yes
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$401K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?"?
1,215 wallets hold a position worth $231K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,213 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $644K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $644K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.