Who's betting on “Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?”?
Tech · $246K volume · Closed · Updated October 13, 2026
This market closed on October 13, 2026 and resolved Yes. $246K has been traded on it.
71% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
965 wallets hold a position worth $81K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 952 of them.
- Smart money share
- 71%
- Holders
- 476
- Money on it
- $81K
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 80% ▼ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 489
- Money on it
- $40
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- September 30$644K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 31$271K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 13$115K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- November 30$91K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 14$60K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 16$47K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- October 10$40K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 23$39K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 12$24K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$888K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$768K vol.Yes 89%No 11%Smart money: Yes
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$738K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$430K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$408K vol.Yes 50%No 51%Smart money: Yes
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$401K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?"?
965 wallets hold a position worth $81K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 952 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 13, 2026 and resolved Yes. $246K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 13, 2026 and resolved Yes. $246K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.