Who's betting on iran on Polymarket?
17 open markets with $21M traded, each with the odds and where the profitable wallets sit.
Biggest iran events
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?4 markets · $5.3M vol.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?2 markets · $4.8M vol.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?2 markets · $2.1M vol.
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?2 markets · $990K vol.
- Iran full airspace closure by...?2 markets · $964K vol.
Open markets
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money split
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.1M vol.Yes 86%No 14%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.0M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.2M vol.Yes 40%No 61%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$937K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$771K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$672K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?$652K vol.Yes 48%No 53%Smart money: Yes
- Iran full airspace closure by December 31?$623K vol.Yes 40%No 60%Smart money: No
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?$595K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?$341K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?$339K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?$335K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?$318K vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: No
Closed in the last 30 days
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?$3.3M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?$3.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$2.4M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$2.2M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?$1.4M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Iran full airspace closure by September 30?$1.1M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?$955K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?$829K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?$804K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?$484K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?$468K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?$446K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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