Who's betting on “US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?”?
Iran · $2.4M volume · Closed · Updated October 1, 2026
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $2.4M has been traded on it.
64% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
523 wallets hold a position worth $862K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 521 of them.
- Smart money share
- 64% ▲ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 229
- Money on it
- $431
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 92% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 294
- Money on it
- $862K
- Holders' winrate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
Other big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.1M vol.Yes 85%No 16%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.0M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.2M vol.Yes 40%No 60%Smart money: Yes
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$937K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$773K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$672K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?"?
523 wallets hold a position worth $862K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 521 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $2.4M has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $2.4M has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.