Who's betting on “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?”?

Iran · $3.0M volume · Closed · Updated October 1, 2026

This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $3.0M has been traded on it.

12% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 84 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 80 points. A week ago, No by 84 points.

302 wallets hold a position worth $96K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 302 of them.

Yes0%
Smart money share
12% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
127
Money on it
$439
Holders' winrate
49%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
97% ▲ 3 pts 24 h
Holders
175
Money on it
$96K
Holders' winrate
90%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?"?

302 wallets hold a position worth $96K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 302 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?"?

This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $3.0M has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

12% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 84 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 80 points. A week ago, No by 84 points.

When does this market end?

This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $3.0M has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo