Who's betting on “Iran full airspace closure by September 30?”?
Iran · $1.1M volume · Closed · Updated October 1, 2026
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $1.1M has been traded on it.
66% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 12 points.
567 wallets hold a position worth $316K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 566 of them.
- Smart money share
- 66%
- Holders
- 212
- Money on it
- $158
- Holders' winrate
- 40%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 79% ▲ 12 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 355
- Money on it
- $316K
- Holders' winrate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Iran full airspace closure by...?
Other big iran markets
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money split
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.1M vol.Yes 86%No 14%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.0M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.2M vol.Yes 40%No 60%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$937K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Iran full airspace closure by September 30?"?
567 wallets hold a position worth $316K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 566 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Iran full airspace closure by September 30?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $1.1M has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 12 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $1.1M has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.