Who's betting on “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?”?
Iran · $955K volume · Closed · Updated October 15, 2026
This market closed on October 15, 2026 and resolved Yes. $955K has been traded on it.
77% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
379 wallets hold a position worth $351K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 365 of them.
- Smart money share
- 77%
- Holders
- 235
- Money on it
- $350K
- Holders' winrate
- 77%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 48% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 144
- Money on it
- $526
- Holders' winrate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 31$3.1M vol.Yes 86%No 14%Smart money: Yes
- December 31$1.2M vol.Yes 39%No 61%Smart money: Yes
- November 30$653K vol.Yes 47%No 53%Smart money: Yes
- November 15$340K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money: Yes
- October 24$199K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: Yes
- October 27$97K vol.Yes 92%No 8%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$3.3M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 21$1.4M vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 18$804K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- October 9$60K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
Who's betting on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? →
Other big iran markets
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money split
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- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.0M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$937K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$774K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$672K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?"?
379 wallets hold a position worth $351K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 365 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?"?
This market closed on October 15, 2026 and resolved Yes. $955K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 15, 2026 and resolved Yes. $955K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.