Who's betting on “Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?”?
Pop culture · $1.1M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
21% of the money on Yes and 13% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.
256 wallets hold a position worth $105K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 256 of them. The largest Yes holder is tradetard, with $1.3K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is BABELCONSTEL, with $84K on it, $669K lifetime loss over 978 markets (79% won).
- Smart money share
- 21% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 156
- Money on it
- $7.8K
- Holders' winrate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 13% ▲ 7 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 100
- Money on it
- $98K
- Holders' winrate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| tradetard | $1.3K | +$0 | - |
| 0xB363ebe2a849436b875DD965092431f57aB4D77e-1767948508044 | $1.2K | +$23 | 100% of 1 |
| obiwansatoshi | $1.1K | +$0 | - |
| UptoNoob | $959 | -$481 | - |
| QXOG | $869 | +$0 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| BABELCONSTEL | $84K | -$669K | 79% of 978 |
| Nooseracwhale | $6.0K | +$1.3M | 57% of 2,827 |
| Optimus-whale | $2.7K | +$120K | 56% of 314 |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495noise | $2.2K | +$317K | 22% of 11,481 |
| Gaujmalietisgrinder | $496 | +$4.2K | 96% of 212 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?"?
256 wallets hold a position worth $105K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 256 of them. The largest Yes holder is tradetard, with $1.3K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is BABELCONSTEL, with $84K on it, $669K lifetime loss over 978 markets (79% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
21% of the money on Yes and 13% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.