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Who's betting on “Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $45M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $45M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

54% of the money on Yes and 17% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points. A week ago, Yes by 39 points.

1,049 wallets hold a position worth $7.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,049 of them. The largest Yes holder is JustCrazy, with $273 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 264 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Ideal, with $3.0K on it, $4.8K lifetime loss over 183 markets (68% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
54%
Holders
442
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' winrate
57%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
17% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
Holders
607
Money on it
$6.2K
Holders' winrate
67%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
JustCrazywhale$273+$32K47% of 264
moinet$135-$18275% of 4
KKchallenge$119-$46K34% of 202
Asperatuswhale$75+$2.9K64% of 225
tugator$58-$6.4K48% of 1,059
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Ideal$3.0K-$4.8K68% of 183
olacd$86-$322% of 18
cathymathis$72-$1310% of 80
biods15$70-$1897% of 73
venoosix$58-$10796% of 71
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

1,049 wallets hold a position worth $7.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,049 of them. The largest Yes holder is JustCrazy, with $273 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 264 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Ideal, with $3.0K on it, $4.8K lifetime loss over 183 markets (68% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $45M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

54% of the money on Yes and 17% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points. A week ago, Yes by 39 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo