Who's betting on “Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?
Politics · $13M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $13M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
53% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
1,999 wallets hold a position worth $267K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,996 of them. The largest Yes holder is patma, with $25K on it, $733 lifetime profit over 7 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is 0x5375…aeea, with $8.3K on it, $4.0M lifetime loss over 1,026 markets (28% won).
The insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $2.1K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 53%
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $229K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 1 · $2.1K
- Smart money share
- 54% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 999
- Money on it
- $38K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| patma | $25K | +$733 | 57% of 7 |
| 0xcf19…6402whale | $16K | +$173K | 54% of 469 |
| tugator | $10K | -$6.4K | 48% of 1,059 |
| ImJustKenwhale | $9.2K | +$2.3M | 65% of 1,065 |
| stopgrowing | $8.5K | -$591 | 61% of 46 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5375…aeea | $8.3K | -$4.0M | 28% of 1,026 |
| Zptmlbalanced | $7.6K | +$34K | 69% of 58 |
| DapperChapperwhale | $5.8K | +$112K | 66% of 1,000 |
| BeNwhale | $3.1K | +$35K | 69% of 1,001 |
| Ideal | $1.7K | -$4.8K | 68% of 183 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
1,999 wallets hold a position worth $267K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,996 of them. The largest Yes holder is patma, with $25K on it, $733 lifetime profit over 7 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is 0x5375…aeea, with $8.3K on it, $4.0M lifetime loss over 1,026 markets (28% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $13M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on Yes ($2.1K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.