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Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $27M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $27M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

65% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.

1,039 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,038 of them. The largest Yes holder is JustCrazy, with $917 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 264 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is keinanung, with $1.5K on it, $0 lifetime profit.

Yes0%
Smart money share
65%
Holders
482
Money on it
$4.1K
Holders' winrate
54%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
60%
Holders
557
Money on it
$16K
Holders' winrate
56%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
JustCrazywhale$917+$32K47% of 264
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1$546-$19K65% of 1,500
santashrek81noise$300+$1.7K45% of 179
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794whale$284+$35K49% of 1,032
0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfkwhale$168+$15K77% of 22
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
keinanung$1.5K+$0-
gibbonomics$1.3K+$97100% of 3
koshbabybalanced$1.1K+$17569% of 197
operationcastlewhale$1.1K+$545K49% of 1,002
vigfood404$1.0K+$872% of 18
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

1,039 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,038 of them. The largest Yes holder is JustCrazy, with $917 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 264 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is keinanung, with $1.5K on it, $0 lifetime profit.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $27M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

65% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo