Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?
Politics · $14M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $14M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
63% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
864 wallets hold a position worth $39K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 864 of them. The largest Yes holder is pizzabillgates, with $3.3K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 16 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is tugator, with $2.5K on it, $6.4K lifetime loss over 1,059 markets (48% won).
- Smart money share
- 63%
- Holders
- 448
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 49%
- Holders
- 416
- Money on it
- $24K
- Holders' winrate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates | $3.3K | +$75K | 81% of 16 |
| fed26whale | $1.9K | +$2.0K | 61% of 28 |
| 0x12f7a248eD015f44D50aAd4eabF9bfBe839eA032-1766776464706 | $1.7K | +$0 | - |
| DonaldPumpJr | $1.1K | -$123 | 50% of 2 |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfkwhale | $845 | +$15K | 77% of 22 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| tugator | $2.5K | -$6.4K | 48% of 1,059 |
| 0x7a04…4d28 | $2.0K | +$325 | 50% of 4 |
| 0x14b9…6703 | $1.3K | -$10 | 0% of 1 |
| 0x0824…8f3c | $1.3K | -$40 | - |
| 0x10ee…585e | $1.2K | +$39 | 50% of 2 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Presidential Election Winner 2028
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
864 wallets hold a position worth $39K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 864 of them. The largest Yes holder is pizzabillgates, with $3.3K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 16 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is tugator, with $2.5K on it, $6.4K lifetime loss over 1,059 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $14M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.