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Who's betting on “Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $13M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $13M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

64% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.

658 wallets hold a position worth $33K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 658 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $5.4K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,065 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Aaron666, with $209 on it, $32 lifetime loss over 32 markets (38% won).

Yes1%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
64%
Holders
334
Money on it
$29K
Holders' winrate
60%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money share
44% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
324
Money on it
$4.6K
Holders' winrate
61%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
ImJustKenwhale$5.4K+$2.3M65% of 1,065
0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740$2.9K-$402K82% of 502
gandalfwhale$2.5K+$2.7K51% of 200
notssf3whale$1.6K+$74K66% of 210
wesmooreluvr$1.5K-$3.0K29% of 7
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Aaron666$209-$3238% of 32
Jonathan2323$199-$12725% of 55
Amber1799rf$190-$4827% of 49
Amanda1409$189-$6230% of 50
Daniel8884$183-$12127% of 30
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

658 wallets hold a position worth $33K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 658 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $5.4K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,065 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Aaron666, with $209 on it, $32 lifetime loss over 32 markets (38% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $13M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

64% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo