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Who's betting on “Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $13M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $13M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

47% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.

1,153 wallets hold a position worth $82K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,153 of them. The largest Yes holder is pxlz, with $22K on it, $691 lifetime loss over 3 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is J-E-R, with $2.8K on it, $249K lifetime profit over 642 markets (52% won).

Yes3%
Smart money share
47%
Holders
465
Money on it
$71K
Holders' winrate
39%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No97%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
68% ▲ 29 pts 24 h
Holders
688
Money on it
$11K
Holders' winrate
57%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
pxlz$22K-$6910% of 3
Ferwherenoise$19K+$184K19% of 90
jorgesegui33$7.8K-$17K-
FutureGenius$2.6K-$2.3K20% of 5
AnonymousUsernamewhale$1.6K+$357K70% of 5,055
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
J-E-Rwhale$2.8K+$249K52% of 642
11122noise$2.2K+$630K42% of 1,111
hdsfiuejd$629-$2489% of 46
maspytangrinder$258+$34695% of 91
hgtgyu6rfgbfgy5rtddfh$221-$10750% of 18
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

1,153 wallets hold a position worth $82K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,153 of them. The largest Yes holder is pxlz, with $22K on it, $691 lifetime loss over 3 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is J-E-R, with $2.8K on it, $249K lifetime profit over 642 markets (52% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $13M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

47% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo