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Who's betting on “Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $35M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $35M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

89% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 54 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.

840 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 838 of them. The largest Yes holder is risk-manager, with $3.3K on it, $196K lifetime profit over 1,007 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1, with $799 on it, $19K lifetime loss over 1,500 markets (65% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
89%
Holders
277
Money on it
$4.1K
Holders' winrate
58%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
35%
Holders
563
Money on it
$6.0K
Holders' winrate
55%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
risk-managerwhale$3.3K+$196K59% of 1,007
tugator$187-$6.4K48% of 1,059
f3ita$71-$7.1K43% of 168
BabyGrootwhale$54+$56K67% of 729
sleepy-panda$45-$1.4M80% of 1,156
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1$799-$19K65% of 1,500
Elias.Thornwellwhale$288+$4.5K69% of 2,937
gieminus$119-$3.6K96% of 93
melissawong$105-$624% of 42
jennifergarrison$102-$422% of 45
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

840 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 838 of them. The largest Yes holder is risk-manager, with $3.3K on it, $196K lifetime profit over 1,007 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa1, with $799 on it, $19K lifetime loss over 1,500 markets (65% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $35M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

89% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 54 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo