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Who's betting on “Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $22M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $22M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

67% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.

774 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 774 of them. The largest Yes holder is steiner, with $156 on it, $496 lifetime profit over 43 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $250 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,937 markets (69% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
67%
Holders
393
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' winrate
56%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
49%
Holders
381
Money on it
$2.4K
Holders' winrate
61%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
steinernoise$156+$49640% of 43
JustCrazywhale$147+$32K47% of 264
kjsdavv$131-$80K72% of 47
KGAG$75-$21K22% of 202
LAROWnoise$72+$90049% of 78
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$250+$4.5K69% of 2,937
iingramnoise$136+$3420% of 60
gd77huy$100+$43393% of 27
Beyond20$100+$30180% of 30
cunninghamheather$72-$714% of 87
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

774 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 774 of them. The largest Yes holder is steiner, with $156 on it, $496 lifetime profit over 43 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $250 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,937 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $22M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

67% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo