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Who's betting on “Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $34M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $34M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

43% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

738 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 738 of them. The largest Yes holder is ijnvg, with $387 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Abure7N, with $533 on it, $149 lifetime loss over 34 markets (15% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
43%
Holders
374
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' winrate
61%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
44%
Holders
364
Money on it
$3.4K
Holders' winrate
48%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
ijnvg$387+$0-
0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfkwhale$230+$15K77% of 22
elsif1$101-$494-
KnureKnumewhale$70+$152K51% of 1,066
11122noise$64+$630K42% of 1,111
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Abure7N$533-$14915% of 34
shane46$286+$2437% of 63
rocky42008whale$265+$2.9K45% of 724
feliciahowardnoise$121+$1523% of 40
garbaty234whale$73+$4393% of 102
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

738 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 738 of them. The largest Yes holder is ijnvg, with $387 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Abure7N, with $533 on it, $149 lifetime loss over 34 markets (15% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $34M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

43% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo