Who's betting on “Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?”?
Politics · $78K volume · Ends October 26, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $78K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
87% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 7 points.
126 wallets hold a position worth $627 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 126 of them. The largest Yes holder is fiter, with $12 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 769 markets (16% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $230 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
- Smart money share
- 87%
- Holders
- 108
- Money on it
- $71
- Holders' winrate
- 38%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 86%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $556
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| fiternoise | $12 | +$46K | 16% of 769 |
| Biggggggggwhale | $8 | +$705K | 46% of 5,954 |
| aHjCznoise | $4 | +$461K | 28% of 37,429 |
| e46m3whale | $4 | +$1.1M | 47% of 74,403 |
| balthazarwhale | $4 | +$1.2M | 53% of 44,232 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $230 | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,940 |
| i2dtwhale | $115 | +$17K | 72% of 334 |
| gosho-gazilionera | $57 | +$12 | 80% of 20 |
| rolller | $45 | -$1.9K | 50% of 200 |
| gammasqbalanced | $31 | +$1.0K | 68% of 108 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Bulgaria Presidential Election
- Iliana Iotova$603K vol.Yes 88%No 13%Smart money: Yes
- Аndrey Gyurov$478K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: No
- Kostadin Kostadinov$133K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Rosen Zhelyazkov$70K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Boyko Borissov$58K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Vassil Terziev$40K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Blagomir Kotsev$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Rosen Plevneliev$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Yanaki Stoilov$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Krum Zarkov$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Atanas Atanasov$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Delyan Peevski$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Natalia Kiselova$16K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?"?
126 wallets hold a position worth $627 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 126 of them. The largest Yes holder is fiter, with $12 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 769 markets (16% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $230 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $78K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 26, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.