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Who's betting on “Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?”?

Politics · $5.3M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $5.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

25% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.

1,584 wallets hold a position worth $1.3M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,541 of them. The largest Yes holder is neutralwave23, with $33K on it, $2.9M lifetime loss over 27,006 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is LlamaLoco0000, with $426K on it, $348K lifetime profit over 297 markets (45% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on No; the insider radar has flagged 17 wallets betting $77K on Yes.

Yes13%
Smart money share
25%
Holders
876
Money on it
$319K
Holders' winrate
60%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
17 · $77K
No87%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
60%
Holders
708
Money on it
$1.0M
Holders' winrate
54%
Snipers
1 · $0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
neutralwave23$33K-$2.9M72% of 27,006
Sieghart14$25K+$0-
F2c$15K-$4.8K41% of 200
LaMecheMoonbalanced$13K+$3.3K92% of 25
seeps24$12K+$0-
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
LlamaLoco0000noise$426K+$348K45% of 297
Vietnam7$130K+$0-
biboutou$78K-$1.5K-
lastminwin$48K-$10K57% of 7
flawfencewhale$45K+$480K75% of 478
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

1,584 wallets hold a position worth $1.3M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,541 of them. The largest Yes holder is neutralwave23, with $33K on it, $2.9M lifetime loss over 27,006 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is LlamaLoco0000, with $426K on it, $348K lifetime profit over 297 markets (45% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $5.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

25% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Is there insider betting on this market?

17 wallets on Yes ($77K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo