Who's betting on “Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?”?

Politics · $6.4M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $6.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

80% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.

227 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 227 of them. The largest Yes holder is LaBascule, with $129 on it, $1.2K lifetime profit over 40 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.3K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
80%
Holders
148
Money on it
$636
Holders' winrate
59%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
80%
Holders
79
Money on it
$1.8K
Holders' winrate
56%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
LaBasculebalanced$129+$1.2K70% of 40
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$110+$1.2M57% of 972
PainChoconoise$100+$3.0K52% of 33
Luche38bnb$55-$3650% of 2
spx11whale$48+$112K62% of 178
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$1.3K+$4.5K69% of 2,940
0x42FA43eC0456012aF53CbFce7CaF7E58a2d53BCb-1763046042144$271-$155% of 76
badao0balanced$21+$69479% of 154
LesterDiamondnoise$20+$201K39% of 3,537
tmy89888noise$14+$98% of 100
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

227 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 227 of them. The largest Yes holder is LaBascule, with $129 on it, $1.2K lifetime profit over 40 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.3K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $6.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

80% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo