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Who's betting on “Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?”?

Politics · $3.0M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $3.0M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

47% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.

683 wallets hold a position worth $62K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 676 of them. The largest Yes holder is BurstedBubble, with $4.3K on it, $45K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is Montecarlaw, with $1.4K on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,098 markets (62% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $226 on Yes.

Yes4%
Smart money share
47%
Holders
355
Money on it
$56K
Holders' winrate
56%
Snipers
1 · $226
Insider flags
0
No96%
Smart money share
51% ▼ 3 pts 24 h
Holders
328
Money on it
$6.6K
Holders' winrate
60%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
BurstedBubble$4.3K-$45K100% of 2
lastminwin$3.3K-$10K57% of 7
tsihkodiiveswhale$2.4K+$26K83% of 476
TR422$2.3K-$6.1K31% of 16
newbiereal$2.2K-$11K50% of 4
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Montecarlawwhale$1.4K+$15K62% of 1,098
6ujgfcnhg976t$430-$3264% of 11
Elias.Thornwellwhale$366+$4.5K69% of 2,940
DangerousDAVE-790$274-$2950% of 20
dgfdtr56rgdhg$256-$4657% of 21
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

683 wallets hold a position worth $62K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 676 of them. The largest Yes holder is BurstedBubble, with $4.3K on it, $45K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is Montecarlaw, with $1.4K on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,098 markets (62% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $3.0M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

47% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo