polkyo

Who's betting on “Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?”?

Politics · $4.6M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $4.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

93% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.

224 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 223 of them. The largest Yes holder is rainbowlilies, with $880 on it, $225K lifetime profit over 2,372 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.2K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
93%
Holders
140
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' winrate
48%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
81%
Holders
84
Money on it
$1.5K
Holders' winrate
66%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
rainbowlilieswhale$880+$225K43% of 2,372
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$102+$1.2M57% of 972
skolo$67+$3458% of 19
CoffeeDespiserwhale$23+$51K47% of 1,145
Alyosm$17-$1.6K69% of 200
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$1.2K+$4.5K69% of 2,940
fhdydg$50-$2649% of 35
vhdjyty$42-$2047% of 36
LBZbot2$40-$30338% of 289
chainchainchain$40-$7051% of 72
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in Next French Presidential Election

Who's betting on Next French Presidential Election →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

224 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 223 of them. The largest Yes holder is rainbowlilies, with $880 on it, $225K lifetime profit over 2,372 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.2K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $4.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

93% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo