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Who's betting on “Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?”?

Politics · $4.8M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $4.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

41% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 5 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

270 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 270 of them. The largest Yes holder is BurstedBubble, with $637 on it, $45K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is chikipikinss, with $991 on it, $18 lifetime loss over 19 markets (47% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
41%
Holders
185
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' winrate
50%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
36%
Holders
85
Money on it
$2.3K
Holders' winrate
52%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
BurstedBubble$637-$45K100% of 2
rainbowlilieswhale$263+$225K43% of 2,372
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$100+$1.2M57% of 972
fiternoise$28+$46K16% of 769
0x2D29Da4E225dC0eA82A7083f7cbE5FE6c84571E0-1775145499679$23-$5642% of 12
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
chikipikinss$991-$1847% of 19
Elias.Thornwellwhale$771+$4.5K69% of 2,940
matthewcastillo$64-$712% of 91
hineskaren$59-$911% of 88
79887jyg$44-$1455% of 11
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

270 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 270 of them. The largest Yes holder is BurstedBubble, with $637 on it, $45K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is chikipikinss, with $991 on it, $18 lifetime loss over 19 markets (47% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $4.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

41% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 5 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo