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Who's betting on “Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?”?

Politics · $3.2M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $3.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

45% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.

253 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 253 of them. The largest Yes holder is 2734774, with $2.0K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.2K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share
45%
Holders
169
Money on it
$9.5K
Holders' winrate
50%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
69%
Holders
84
Money on it
$2.4K
Holders' winrate
66%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
2734774$2.0K+$0-
angularcitizen$1.3K-$98363% of 63
raymondpoincarewhale$1.2K+$2.3K65% of 161
mignonpignonnoise$1.2K+$5.2K12% of 202
sebfil$461-$285100% of 4
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$1.2K+$4.5K69% of 2,940
Grabovoy$379-$3452% of 21
Andrew088847546$200-$4132% of 37
0x690adfd6e40abfc66f6e0ae5845472903e8de541-1792160977960$117+$370% of 10
JoEwhale$66+$1.8K86% of 216
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

253 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 253 of them. The largest Yes holder is 2734774, with $2.0K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.2K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $3.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

45% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo