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Who's betting on “Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?”?

Politics · $6.2M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $6.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

67% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.

187 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 187 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A, with $629 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 972 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.1K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
67% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
132
Money on it
$1.9K
Holders' winrate
54%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
63%
Holders
55
Money on it
$2.0K
Holders' winrate
52%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$629+$1.2M57% of 972
basypteo$515-$2.6K63% of 72
rainbowlilieswhale$452+$225K43% of 2,372
Horusss887$49-$15350% of 18
0xEb407feb44f3eC50C190B7f3CC9F91507b14174B-1787403049083$43+$1.1K0% of 1
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$1.1K+$4.5K69% of 2,940
qingshiaa$306-$2535% of 34
0x0a9DF73e2F11A1Dec3945a9ba81af0c2d003E3a7-1763022493583$286-$180% of 52
0x057cB30A952Fde41D096a2D62d822A5288d9D63d-1778970532048$103+$050% of 4
0xdd2b809Ae3A9Cd1E8518028D4e5F4a3cE1e5BE2B-1778977001309$91-$30% of 3
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

187 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 187 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A, with $629 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 972 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.1K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $6.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

67% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo