Who's betting on “Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?”?
Politics · $5.2M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $5.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
69% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
201 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 201 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A, with $283 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 972 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $934 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
- Smart money share
- 69%
- Holders
- 159
- Money on it
- $636
- Holders' winrate
- 53%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 97%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $969
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale | $283 | +$1.2M | 57% of 972 |
| BaucheJerome | $100 | -$253 | 0% of 1 |
| F0ulplay | $75 | -$3.1K | 42% of 33 |
| JustCrazywhale | $37 | +$32K | 47% of 264 |
| kentx123456balanced | $25 | +$1 | 61% of 28 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $934 | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,940 |
| turki12altamimi | $8 | -$66 | 9% of 126 |
| En61Mostafa | $5 | -$29 | 7% of 161 |
| Heather3054 | $3 | -$74 | 33% of 203 |
| jowitrivianiwhale | $3 | +$394 | 86% of 265 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next French Presidential Election
- Ségolène Royal$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Olivier Faure$6.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Mathilde Panot$6.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- François Asselineau$6.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Xavier Bertrand$6.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- François Bayrou$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Yaël Braun-Pivet$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Élisabeth Borne$5.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- David Lisnard$5.3M vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: No
- Michel Barnier$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Clémentine Autain$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$4.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- François Ruffin$4.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Carole Delga$4.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Marine Tondelier$4.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Marine Le Pen$4.4M vol.Yes 46%No 54%Smart money: No
- Fabien Roussel$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Clémence Guetté$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Valérie Pécresse$4.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Laurent Wauquiez$3.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Gabriel Attal$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Bruno Retailleau$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- Éric Zemmour$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Raphaël Glucksmann$3.0M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?"?
201 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 201 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A, with $283 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 972 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $934 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $5.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.