polkyo

Who's betting on “Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?”?

Politics · $4.4M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 46¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $4.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

40% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 48 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.

1,730 wallets hold a position worth $1.1M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,710 of them. The largest Yes holder is BurstedBubble, with $296K on it, $45K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is LlamaLoco0000, with $218K on it, $348K lifetime profit over 297 markets (45% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $375 on Yes; 2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $377 on No; the insider radar has flagged 2 wallets betting $10K on Yes.

Yes46%
Smart money share
40%
Holders
1,000
Money on it
$833K
Holders' winrate
62%
Snipers
1 · $375
Insider flags
2 · $10K
No54%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
88%
Holders
730
Money on it
$288K
Holders' winrate
49%
Snipers
2 · $377
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
BurstedBubble$296K-$45K100% of 2
StudentMoneywhale$37K+$4.6K69% of 1,128
0xEb407feb44f3eC50C190B7f3CC9F91507b14174B-1787403049083$25K+$1.1K0% of 1
flovertacowhale$21K+$25K59% of 293
lastminwin$18K-$10K57% of 7
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
LlamaLoco0000noise$218K+$348K45% of 297
resuildde$4.5K+$5.2K67% of 3
avon5balanced$3.9K+$2.1K63% of 203
0xB4d16f0346538FCceE67FfCec5c233a35D1d4c60-1729427300518$3.8K-$16K58% of 50
nono972$3.8K-$9.7K70% of 110
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in Next French Presidential Election

Who's betting on Next French Presidential Election →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

1,730 wallets hold a position worth $1.1M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,710 of them. The largest Yes holder is BurstedBubble, with $296K on it, $45K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is LlamaLoco0000, with $218K on it, $348K lifetime profit over 297 markets (45% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 46¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $4.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

40% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 48 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Is there insider betting on this market?

2 wallets on Yes ($10K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo