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Who's betting on “Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?”?

Politics · $1.2M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

57% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.

153 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 152 of them. The largest Yes holder is PappyB, with $1.2K on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is mystery, with $10 on it, $859 lifetime profit over 255 markets (81% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
57%
Holders
152
Money on it
$5.7K
Holders' winrate
52%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
100%
Holders
1
Money on it
$10
Holders' winrate
81%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
PappyB$1.2K-$10K43% of 7
TheArchitect76$488-$6.3K40% of 368
Huluholwhale$447+$89681% of 48
perfectnostalgiawhale$395+$152K52% of 929
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0whale$340+$228K71% of 202
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
mysterybalanced$10+$85981% of 255
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

153 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 152 of them. The largest Yes holder is PappyB, with $1.2K on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is mystery, with $10 on it, $859 lifetime profit over 255 markets (81% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

57% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo