
Who's betting on “Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?”?
Politics · $3.1M volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $3.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
72% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
210 wallets hold a position worth $854 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 210 of them. The largest Yes holder is Yelowyolo, with $32 on it, $5.3K lifetime profit over 200 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $387 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
- Smart money share
- 72%
- Holders
- 152
- Money on it
- $184
- Holders' winrate
- 50%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 75%
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $670
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yelowyolonoise | $32 | +$5.3K | 46% of 200 |
| 0xF6922dC01EEaA69A7C0515a08179B4315cFF554C-1784854491166 | $15 | +$57 | 80% of 5 |
| Biggggggggwhale | $12 | +$705K | 46% of 5,954 |
| Cescoli | $11 | -$3.3K | 44% of 216 |
| 11122noise | $10 | +$630K | 42% of 1,111 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $387 | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,940 |
| qwee633qw | $60 | -$5 | 65% of 23 |
| 0x6274…b882 | $28 | +$2 | 57% of 7 |
| haidong234 | $20 | +$437 | 89% of 9 |
| efrrrw | $19 | -$44 | 24% of 29 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Richard Grenell$33M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Frank Donovan$26M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Pete Hegseth$9.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Evan Pettus$5.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Dan Caine$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Nicolás Maduro$3.6M vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money: Yes
- Delcy Rodríguez$2.4M vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- Diosdado Cabello Rondón$2.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- No Head of State$1.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- María Corina Machado$1.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Marco Rubio$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Edmundo González$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Jorge Rodríguez$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Donald Trump$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Vladimir Padrino López$891K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?"?
210 wallets hold a position worth $854 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 210 of them. The largest Yes holder is Yelowyolo, with $32 on it, $5.3K lifetime profit over 200 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $387 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $3.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.