polkyo

Who's betting on “Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?”?

Politics · $4.2M volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $4.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

47% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.

248 wallets hold a position worth $579 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 248 of them. The largest Yes holder is thecaricature, with $18 on it, $8.0K lifetime loss over 660 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $319 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
47%
Holders
234
Money on it
$183
Holders' winrate
54%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
82%
Holders
14
Money on it
$395
Holders' winrate
67%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
thecaricature$18-$8.0K42% of 660
Yelowyolonoise$14+$5.3K46% of 200
Biggggggggwhale$13+$705K46% of 5,954
0xb8cd…02cd$13-$967-
0x4bd4…91ab$11-$16078% of 9
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$319+$4.5K69% of 2,940
yiyuvv$50-$1455% of 33
memetr$16-$553% of 38
Kilopos$4-$11385% of 85
bagratNEbratbalanced$4+$3073% of 40
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Who's betting on Venezuela leader end of 2026? →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?"?

248 wallets hold a position worth $579 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 248 of them. The largest Yes holder is thecaricature, with $18 on it, $8.0K lifetime loss over 660 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $319 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $4.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

47% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo