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Who's betting on “Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?”?

Politics · $1.6M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

49% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 12 points.

1,101 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,098 of them. The largest Yes holder is usernamedefault.txt, with $305 on it, $3.1K lifetime loss over 57 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is Anointed-Connect, with $4.0K on it, $918K lifetime profit over 1,000 markets (94% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share
49%
Holders
724
Money on it
$3.9K
Holders' winrate
50%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
63%
Holders
377
Money on it
$20K
Holders' winrate
79%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
usernamedefault.txt$305-$3.1K35% of 57
iForgorwhale$205+$19K46% of 271
11122noise$191+$630K42% of 1,111
0xe64024BEB9a733c3519524E24C5831D392121291-1771574603272$180-$40029% of 201
gamesgood$166-$45K81% of 75
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Anointed-Connectwhale$4.0K+$918K94% of 1,000
0x19974ce5980baE3d4c4D1a67CFce60C655492e36-1760671412706$3.3K-$128K73% of 538
VvVvwhale$3.0K+$247K84% of 200
Slowroastedwhale$1.5K+$35K83% of 215
Elias.Thornwellwhale$717+$4.5K69% of 2,940
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?"?

1,101 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,098 of them. The largest Yes holder is usernamedefault.txt, with $305 on it, $3.1K lifetime loss over 57 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is Anointed-Connect, with $4.0K on it, $918K lifetime profit over 1,000 markets (94% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

49% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 12 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo